Curriculum Vitae

Click to view my Curriculum Vitae as a pdf.

Contact Information

Department of Economics
University of California, San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive
La Jolla, CA 92093-0508

Phone: (917) 854-2749
Fax: (858) 534-7040
Email: credpath@ucsd.edu
Personal Website: https://credpath.github.io/
UCSD Website: https://acsweb.ucsd.edu/~credpath/

Placement Director      Jim Andreoni    (858) 952-6183   andreoni@ucsd.edu
Placement Coodinator   Andrew Flores   (858) 534-1058   aflores@ucsd.edu

Education

University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA
PhD Economics - 2023 (expected)
CPhil Economics - 2021
MA Economics - 2019

Fordham University
New York, NY
BSc in Mathematics and, with Honors, in Economics summa cum laude - 2017

References

NameEmailPhone
Julie Cullenjbcullen@ucsd.edu(858) 822-2056
Tom Vogltvgol@ucsd.edu(858) 534-4553
David Arnolddaarnold@ucsd.edu(760) 415-0418

Fields of Interest

Labor Economics, Law & Economics, Public Economics, Political Economy

Relevant Positions Held

Fellow in Economics, Harvard University, 2021 - 2023
Research Assistant, Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies, 2020

Job Market Paper

“Spousal Visas and Couple Formation: Evidence from the End of the Defense Of Marriage Act”

Abstract: Policy can impact partner choice and match quality. Spousal visa policy permits non-residents to marry citizens, arguably an assimilation capstone. I ask how this policy affects couple rates, marriage rates, and assortative mating by citizenship and birth country. Without immigration policy variation, I identify the effect of spousal visa access by exploiting a change in the federal government's definition of spouse. When the Supreme Court ended the Defense of Marriage Act in United States v. Windsor, same-sex couples gained access to spousal visas for the first time. I estimate the effect of this policy change for mixed-citizenship same-sex couples, accounting for aggregate changes in other same-sex and mixed-citizenship couples, using a triple difference design. Spousal visa access causes a 36% increase in coupling rates and a 72% increase in marriage rates. Transfer benefits, health insurance, roommates, moving, fraud, or state-level heterogeneity do not explain the results. Informal calculations suggest that 1.5 million people currently have partners, directly thanks to spousal visa policy.


Working Papers

“Officer Language and Suspect Race: A Text Analysis of Police Reports” (with Romaine Campbell)

Abstract: We ask if police officers' use of adjectives and adverbs systematically differs by suspect race, if officers with more race-predictive language have different 911 call dispatch outcomes in Black compared with White neighborhoods, and if race-predictive language relates to other officer characteristics. We leverage a novel data set containing police report text. We identify race-predictive language using an elastic net with word counts, then use predicted race to construct an officer-level measure of race-predictive language. We find evidence that officers with greater race-predictive language are more likely to assist and less likely to arrest in Black relative to White neighborhoods.


Works in Progress

“Marriage Legalization, Assortative Mating, and Match Surplus”

Abstract: Marriage is a social phenomenon. Marriage is also a legal contract. Does access to the legal marriage contract affect assortative mating or the surplus generated by matches? If so, marriage policy favors the creation of some couples over others. I answer this question using variation in state law. Previously states barred same-sex couples from the legal marriage contract. I calibrate a model (Ciscato, Gousse, Galichon JPE 2020) that quantifies the relative extent of assortative mating and total matching surplus across marriage markets defined by state, year, and couple type: same-sex and different-sex. I then estimate how same-sex marriage legalization affects these quantities, using a staggered diff-in-diff design.


“Body-Worn Cameras and Police Stops” (with Romaine Campbell)

Abstract: We study the effects of body-worn cameras on officer interactions in a police department that was not an early adopter of body-worn cameras and was institutionally unwilling to adopt them with a randomized control trial (RCT). We hypothesize that this sizeable urban police department may better reflect an average department than early adopters or departments willing to implement an RCT. We compare dispatches made during daylight hours to those made at night before and after the rollout of body-worn cameras. We find that officers use less force during self-dispatched calls and make fewer self-dispatches after the rollout. We do not find changes in officer use of force for 911 call dispatches.


Publications

“Risk Aversion, Offsetting Community Effects, and COVID-19: Evidence from an Indoor Political Rally” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 63, 133–167 (2021) (with Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia)

Abstract: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) deem large indoor gatherings without social distancing the “highest risk” activity for COVID-19 contagion. On June 20, 2020, President Donald J. Trump held his first mass campaign rally following the US coronavirus outbreak at the indoor Bank of Oklahoma arena. In the weeks following the event, numerous high-profile national news outlets reported that the Trump rally was “more than likely” the cause of a coronavirus surge in Tulsa County based on time series data. This study is the first to rigorously explore the impacts of this event on social distancing and COVID-19 spread. First, using data from SafeGraph Inc, we show that while non-resident visits to census block groups hosting the Trump event grew by approximately 25 percent, there was no decline in net stay-at-home behavior in Tulsa County, reflecting important offsetting behavioral effects. Then, using data on COVID-19 cases from the CDC and a synthetic control design, we find little evidence that COVID-19 grew more rapidly in Tulsa County, its border counties, or in the state of Oklahoma than each's estimated counterfactual during the five-week post-treatment period we observe. Difference-in-differences estimates further provide no evidence that COVID-19 rates grew faster in counties that drew relatively larger shares of residents to the event. We conclude that offsetting risk-related behavioral responses to the rally—including voluntary closures of restaurants and bars in downtown Tulsa, increases in stay-at-home behavior, displacement of usual activities of weekend inflows, and smaller-than-expected crowd attendance—may be important mechanisms.


Teaching Experience

University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA

Instructor of Record

CourseTitleQuarter
ECON 121Applied Econometrics & Data AnalysisSummer 2022
ECON 3Principles of MacroeconomicsSummer 2021

Teaching Assistant

CourseTitleProfessorQuarter
ECON 172BOperations ResearchNewhouseSpring 2022
ECON 120CEconometricsWüthrichWinter 2022
ECON 121Applied Econometrics & Data AnalysisVoglFall 2021
ECON 121Applied Econometrics & Data AnalysisVoglSpring 2021
ECON 172BOperations ResearchBergWinter 2021
ECON 171Decision Under UncertaintyNewhouseFall 2020
ECON 3Principles of MacroeconomicsHowdenSummer 2020
ECON 121Applied Econometrics & Data AnalysisVoglWinter 2020
ECON 172AOperations ResearchNewhouseFall 2019
ECON 110AMacroeconomicsRondinaSpring 2019
ECON 172AOperations ResearchNewhouseWinter 2019
ECON 120AEconometricsCandidoFall 2018

Reader

CourseTitleProfessorQuarter
ECON 120AEconometricsTocoianFall 2022
ECON 178Economics & Business ForecastingOSpring 2018
ECON 172AOperations ResearchNewhouseWinter 2018
ECON 171Decisions Under UncertaintyNewhouseFall 2017

Grants

InstitutionYear
Travel and Research Grant - $400UCSD EconSpring 2022
Travel and Research Grant - $255UCSD EconWinter 2022
Travel and Research Grant - $500UCSD EconFall 2021

Honors & Awards

InstitutionYear
TA Excellence AwardUCSD Econ2020-2021
Graduate Student Research Fellowship - $4 000UCSD Econ2019
Graduate Student Research Fellowship - $4 000UCSD Econ2018
Regents Fellowship - $13 000UCSD2017-2018
Charles A O’Neil AwardFordham University2017
Dean’s ListFordham University2015-2017

Professional Activities

Seminar Presentations

NameLocationYear
Vanderbilt Empirical and Applied Microeconomics (VEAM)Nashville2022
UCSD Applied Lunch (x2)San Diego 
UCSD Applied Lunch (x3)San Diego2021
CSQIEP Seminar Seriesvirtual2020
UCSD Applied LunchSan Diego 

Conference Presentations

NameLocationYear
WEAI Annual MeetingPortland2022
PAA Annual Meeting (poster)virtual 
Economic Demography Workshopvirtual 
AEA/ASSA Annual Meetingvirtual 
Economics Graduate Student ConferenceSt Louis2021
All-California Labor Economics Conference (poster)virtual 

Conference Discussant

NameLocationYear
WEAI Annual MeetingPortland2022

Referee Service
Review of Economics of the Household, Scientific Reports

Other Service
Organizer, 3rd Year Applied Group Seminar, 2019-2020
Member, Search Committee for the Dean of Rady School of Management, 2019
Representative, Graduate and Professional Student Association, 2018-2019

Other Information

Citizenship: United States, Canada
Languages: English (Native Speaker), French (Advanced), Lithuanian (Beginner), Russian (Beginner)
Skills: Stata, R, quanteda, spacyr, Latex, Beamer, Git
Hobbies: Running, Swimming, Cycling, Balletomane
Professional Classical Ballet Dancer:
  Lietuvos Nacionalinis Operos ir Baleto Teatras, Vilnius, 2013-2015
  Cincinnati Ballet, Cincinnati, 2012-2013